
VERSUS
At the time of this post, the ALDS playoffs will most likely have begun (and almost certainly by the time you're reading it. And if you're reading it at all, God bless you). However, at the time that I'm actually writing this, it's T-minus 49 minutes until the first pitch at Fenway. Which gives me just enough time to present to you an uninfluenced preview of this ALDS match-up.
On first glance, this looks like a simple rematch of the 2004 ALDS, when the Red Sox outperformed the Angels at the end of each game in a Roger Federer-like manner. And though one New England team currently looks to be about as dominant as Federer, it's not the Red Sox.
It's really hard to find a definitive edge for either of these teams. Both come in a little banged-up, both emotionally and physically. By picking the extra early off day, the Sox will most likely avoid seeing Bartolo Colon start in this series, but that's not necessarily a good thing this year, as he's sporting a losing record and a plus-6 era. The Sox are betting that their starting three are better than that of the Angels, but lately, that's not a sure thing. Beckett, Dice-K and Schilling have all been a little shaky, and Lackey, Escobar and Weaver are no slouches (although Escobar struggled down the stretch as well, so who knows). Pitching match-ups are nearly impossible to predict anyway, and more often than not it seems that the opposite of what you think would happen ends up happening (with that logic, I'm picking a pitcher's duel between Dice-K and Escobar in game 2).
My theory? Go with the most under-reported statistic. For this series, it's road record. For the Angels, that's an under-.500 mark. As cliche as it may be, you have to be able to win on the road in the playoffs. For the Angels, that is actually a fact, as they can only see a maximum of two games in Anaheim (or LA, whatever they want to call it now), so they'll have to pull out AT LEAST one in Boston. Easier said than done. The Angels went 4-6 against the Sox this year, and were 2-5 against them at Fenway (and one of those wins was the second game of a double header).
My Prediction: Everyone and their mother is picking the Sox to win this series in four or five. I love my mom. Sox in Four.







